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Helmikuun ensimmäinen viikko Full Tilt Pokerin high stakes -pöydissä oli Aleksander “PostflopAction” Kostritsinin ja Cole Southin suurta juhlaa. Kaksikko merkkautti lähes identtiset tulokset (nippa nappa yli miljoona dollaria) kirkkaasti edellä muita. Myös tappiolistalla kaksi pelaajaa erottuu muista, Brian Townsend (-1,17m) ja Ilari “Ziigmund” Sahamies (-943k). Sen sijaan Patrik Antonius sai viikonloppuna pitkän tappioputkensa poikki, voitti 779k ja nosti koko viikon saldonsa plussalle. Unohtui? Tämän analyysin tuloksessa mielenkiintoa herättävä vaikutus on kotijoukkueiden erittäin pitkien putkien näkyminen heikentävänä suorituksena. Mallin mukaan kotijoukkueen voittotodennäköisyys tippuisi muuten tasaisessa pelissä 50% -> 42%, mikäli kotijoukkueella on alla 5-6 ottelun tappioputki. Vähintään 7 ottelun tappioputkessa todennäköisyys putoaisi jopa 23% :iin. Efekti ei ole kuitenkaan aivan tilastollisesti merkitsevä (P-arvo = 0.1) ja vähintään 7 ottelun putken osalta epäilyttävän suuri. Tutkimus kuitenkin herättää ainakin epäilyksen, että kotiluolassa pitkän putken katkaiseminen voisi olla oikeasti vaikeaa.
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